Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 54.22%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 20.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bournemouth in this match.