Championship Gameweek 45
Apr 30, 2022 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Cyrus Christie 22' goal
  • Sam Surridge 48' goal
  • Sam Surridge 52' goal
  • Sam Surridge 69' goal
  • Alex Mighten 84' goal
  • yellowcard Cyrus Christie 24'
  • goal Michael Obafemi 28'
  • yellowcard Joel Latibeaudiere 38'

Nottingham Forest vs Swansea City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

All competitions
Last game
Apr 26, 2022 7.45pm
Fulham 0 - 1 Nott'm Forest
Goals scored
73
Top scorer
Brennan Johnson

Swansea City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 26, 2022 7.45pm
Swansea 3 - 3 Bournemouth
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Joel Piroe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 58.74%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 18.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.

Result

Nottingham Forest 58.74%
Draw 22.96%
Swansea City 18.3%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.01%

Goals

Over 2.5 50.11%
Under 2.5 49.88%
Over 3.5 28.12%
Under 3.5 71.88%

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5 83.33%
Under 0.5 16.67%
Over 1.5 53.47%
Under 1.5 46.53%

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5 58.81%
Under 0.5 41.18%
Over 1.5 22.28%
Under 1.5 77.72%

Score analysis

Nottingham Forest 58.72%
Draw 22.96%
Swansea City 18.3%
Nottingham Forest
1-0 @ 12.29%
2-0 @ 11.01%
2-1 @ 9.78%
3-0 @ 6.58%
3-1 @ 5.84%
4-0 @ 2.95%
4-1 @ 2.62%
3-2 @ 2.59%
4-2 @ 1.16%
5-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 58.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.91%
0-0 @ 6.86%
2-2 @ 4.34%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 22.96%
Swansea City
0-1 @ 6.09%
1-2 @ 4.84%
0-2 @ 2.7%
1-3 @ 1.43%
2-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 18.3%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 22
Dec 11, 2021 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Flynn Downes 11' yellowcard
  • Korey Smith 31' yellowcard
  • Ben Cabango 55' yellowcard
  • Joel Piroe 62' goal
  • yellowcard Jordi Osei-Tutu 20'
  • goal Philip Zinckernagel 48'
  • goal Lewis Grabban 50'
  • yellowcard Djed Spence 55'
  • yellowcard Scott McKenna 66'
  • goal Brennan Johnson 68'
  • goal Cafu 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Cafu 90'+4'
Championship Gameweek 30
Feb 17, 2021 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Liberty Stadium
  • Ryan Bennett 35' yellowcard
  • Connor Roberts 87' goal
FA Cup
Jan 23, 2021 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Liam Cullen 7' goal
  • Matt Grimes 29' goal
  • Matt Grimes 60' goal
  • Liam Cullen 67' goal
  • Oliver Cooper 85' goal
  • Yan Dhanda 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carl Jenkinson 10'
  • goal Anthony Knockaert 56'
  • yellowcard Joe Worrall 69'
Championship Gameweek 14
Nov 29, 2020 12.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The City Ground
  • Harry Arter 51' yellowcard
  • Tobias Figueiredo 74' yellowcard
  • Scott McKenna 78' yellowcard
  • Lyle Taylor 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Connor Roberts 43'
  • yellowcard Freddie Woodman 87'
  • yellowcard Jay Fulton 89'
Championship Gameweek 44
Jul 15, 2020 6.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT City Ground
  • Sammy Ameobi 20' goal
  • Samba Sow 32' yellowcard
  • Tobias Figueiredo 38' yellowcard
  • Carl Jenkinson 49' yellowcard
  • Sammy Ameobi 55' goal
  • Tiago Silva 84' yellowcard
  • goal Rhian Brewster 8'
  • goal Andre Ayew 45'
  • yellowcard Conor Gallagher 45'+3'
  • redcard Kyle Naughton 82'
  • yellowcard George Byers 90'+1'
Championship Gameweek 7
Sep 14, 2019 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Connor Roberts 70' yellowcard
  • Mike van der Hoorn 94' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Samba Sow 64'
  • goal Alfa Semedo 85'