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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 30, 2022 at 3pm UK
City Ground
Swansea logo

Nott'm Forest
5 - 1
Swansea

Christie (22' og.), Surridge (48', 52', 69'), Mighten (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Obafemi (28')
Christie (24'), Latibeaudiere (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Nottingham Forest and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 0-1 QPR
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Nottingham Forest 3-1 Swansea City

While Swansea are playing well enough to push Forest all the way on Saturday, we cannot ignore the manner of some of their recent draws. With that in mind, Forest could take advantage, starting well and doing more than enough during the 90 minutes to claim another three vital points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 58.74%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 18.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawSwansea City
58.74%22.96%18.3%
Both teams to score 49.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.11%49.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.12%71.88%
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.33%16.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.47%46.53%
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.81%41.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.28%77.72%
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 58.72%
    Swansea City 18.3%
    Draw 22.96%
Nottingham ForestDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 12.29%
2-0 @ 11.01%
2-1 @ 9.78%
3-0 @ 6.58%
3-1 @ 5.84%
4-0 @ 2.95%
4-1 @ 2.62%
3-2 @ 2.59%
4-2 @ 1.16%
5-0 @ 1.06%
5-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 58.72%
1-1 @ 10.91%
0-0 @ 6.86%
2-2 @ 4.34%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 22.96%
0-1 @ 6.09%
1-2 @ 4.84%
0-2 @ 2.7%
1-3 @ 1.43%
2-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 18.3%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Swansea

Nottingham Forest
81.1%
Draw
13.5%
Swansea City
5.4%
37
Head to Head
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Swansea
1-4
Nott'm Forest
Piroe (62')
Downes (11'), Smith (31'), Cabango (55')
Zinckernagel (48'), Grabban (50'), Johnson (68'), Cafu (90+3')
Osei-Tutu (20'), Spence (55'), McKenna (66'), Cafu (90+4')
Feb 17, 2021 7pm
Jan 23, 2021 3pm
Swansea
5-1
Nott'm Forest
Cullen (7', 67'), Grimes (29', 60' pen.), Cooper (85')
Dhanda (90+1')
Knockaert (56')
Jenkinson (10'), Worrall (69')
Nov 29, 2020 12pm
Nott'm Forest
0-1
Swansea

Arter (51'), Figueiredo (74'), McKenna (78'), Taylor (90+2')
Roberts (43')
Woodman (87'), Fulton (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
2Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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