Championship

Championship | Gameweek 45

Apr 30, 2022 at 3pm UK

City Ground

Nott'm Forest
5 - 1
Swansea

Christie (22' og.), Surridge (48', 52', 69'), Mighten (84')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Obafemi (28')
Christie (24'), Latibeaudiere (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Nottingham Forest and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

Last Six:

Last Game: Huddersfield 0-1 Nott'm Forest
Sunday, May 29 at 4.30pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Huddersfield Town	46	17	82
4	Nottingham Forest	46	33	80
5	Sheffield United	46	18	75

Swansea City

Last Six:

Last Game: Swansea 0-1 QPR
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Stoke City	46	5	62
15	Swansea City	46	-10	61
16	Blackpool	46	-4	60

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 58.74%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 18.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.

Result
Nottingham Forest	Draw	Swansea City
58.74%	22.96%	18.3%

Both teams to score 49.01%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.11%

49.88%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.12%

71.88%

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.33%

16.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.47%

46.53%

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.81%

41.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.28%

77.72%

Score Analysis

Nottingham Forest 58.72%

Swansea City 18.3%

Draw 22.96%

Nottingham Forest	Draw	Swansea City
1-0 @ 12.29% 2-0 @ 11.01% 2-1 @ 9.78% 3-0 @ 6.58% 3-1 @ 5.84% 4-0 @ 2.95% 4-1 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-2 @ 1.16% 5-0 @ 1.06% 5-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.92% Total : 58.72%	1-1 @ 10.91% 0-0 @ 6.86% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.85% Total : 22.96%	0-1 @ 6.09% 1-2 @ 4.84% 0-2 @ 2.7% 1-3 @ 1.43% 2-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.96% Total : 18.3%