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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Stoke City | 46 | 5 | 62 |
| 15 | Swansea City | 46 | -10 | 61 |
| 16 | Blackpool | 46 | -4 | 60 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Luton Town | 46 | 8 | 75 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 9 | 70 |
| 8 | Blackburn Rovers | 46 | 9 | 69 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 37.6% | 26.66% | 35.75% |
| Both teams to score 52.02% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.03% | 52.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.43% | 74.57% |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.67% | 27.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.22% | 62.78% |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.58% | 28.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.83% | 64.18% |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 10.07% 2-1 @ 8.22% 2-0 @ 6.54% 3-1 @ 3.56% 3-0 @ 2.83% 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 1.15% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.08% Total : 37.59% | 1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 7.77% 2-2 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 9.77% 1-2 @ 7.97% 0-2 @ 6.15% 1-3 @ 3.34% 0-3 @ 2.58% 2-3 @ 2.17% 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.72% Total : 35.75% |