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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 23, 2022 at 3pm UK
Liberty Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Swansea
1 - 1
Middlesbrough

Obafemi (48')
Wolf (84'), Christie (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
McGree (46')
Bamba (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 0-1 QPR
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-1 Middlesbrough

Despite their capitulation at Reading, there is an argument that Swansea are the marginal favourites to prevail from this fixture. Nevertheless, Boro will surely end their barren spell in front of goal soon, and it may be enough to earn a share of the spoils from this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawMiddlesbrough
37.6%26.66%35.75%
Both teams to score 52.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.03%52.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.43%74.57%
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.67%27.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.22%62.78%
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.58%28.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.83%64.18%
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 37.59%
    Middlesbrough 35.75%
    Draw 26.65%
Swansea CityDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 10.07%
2-1 @ 8.22%
2-0 @ 6.54%
3-1 @ 3.56%
3-0 @ 2.83%
3-2 @ 2.24%
4-1 @ 1.15%
4-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 37.59%
1-1 @ 12.67%
0-0 @ 7.77%
2-2 @ 5.17%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 9.77%
1-2 @ 7.97%
0-2 @ 6.15%
1-3 @ 3.34%
0-3 @ 2.58%
2-3 @ 2.17%
1-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 35.75%

How you voted: Swansea vs Middlesbrough

Swansea City
52.8%
Draw
22.2%
Middlesbrough
25.0%
36
Head to Head
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Swansea
2-1
Middlesbrough
Ayew (40', 90+7' pen.)
Manning (64'), Guehi (71')
Morsy (90+1')
Bolasie (39'), Saville (47'), Morsy (87'), Howson (90+5')
Dec 2, 2020 7pm
Middlesbrough
2-1
Swansea
Watmore (26', 67')
Johnson (45'), Akpom (57')
Dhanda (78')
Fulton (45+1'), Grimes (85')
Dec 14, 2019 3pm
Swansea
3-1
Middlesbrough
Ayew (22' pen., 71'), Surridge (73')
Cabango (48'), Dhanda (54')
Tavernier (59')
Saville (29'), Browne (52')
Browne (63'), McNair (77')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Sunderland21117332171540
4Burnley2010822471738
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
8Watford199462725231
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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