Home > Football > Championship
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 21 | Reading | 46 | -33 | 41 |
| 22 | Peterborough United | 46 | -44 | 37 |
| 23 | Derby County | 46 | -8 | 34 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Luton Town | 46 | 8 | 75 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 9 | 70 |
| 8 | Blackburn Rovers | 46 | 9 | 69 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 64.09%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Peterborough United had a probability of 15.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.72%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Peterborough United win it was 1-0 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough United | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 15.57% | 20.34% | 64.09% |
| Both teams to score 51.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.58% | 43.42% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.19% | 65.81% |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.3% | 40.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.71% | 77.29% |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.16% | 12.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.8% | 39.2% |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterborough United | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 4.7% 2-1 @ 4.33% 2-0 @ 2.11% 3-2 @ 1.33% 3-1 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.79% Total : 15.57% | 1-1 @ 9.64% 0-0 @ 5.23% 2-2 @ 4.45% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.11% Total : 20.34% | 0-2 @ 11.01% 0-1 @ 10.72% 1-2 @ 9.9% 0-3 @ 7.53% 1-3 @ 6.77% 0-4 @ 3.87% 1-4 @ 3.48% 2-3 @ 3.04% 0-5 @ 1.59% 2-4 @ 1.56% 1-5 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.19% Total : 64.08% |