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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
21 | Reading | 46 | -33 | 41 |
22 | Peterborough United | 46 | -44 | 37 |
23 | Derby County | 46 | -8 | 34 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Luton Town | 46 | 8 | 75 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 9 | 70 |
8 | Blackburn Rovers | 46 | 9 | 69 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 64.09%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Peterborough United had a probability of 15.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.72%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Peterborough United win it was 1-0 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
Result | ||
Peterborough United | Draw | Middlesbrough |
15.57% | 20.34% | 64.09% |
Both teams to score 51.68% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.58% | 43.42% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.19% | 65.81% |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.3% | 40.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.71% | 77.29% |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.16% | 12.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.8% | 39.2% |
Score Analysis |
Peterborough United | Draw | Middlesbrough |
1-0 @ 4.7% 2-1 @ 4.33% 2-0 @ 2.11% 3-2 @ 1.33% 3-1 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.79% Total : 15.57% | 1-1 @ 9.64% 0-0 @ 5.23% 2-2 @ 4.45% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.11% Total : 20.34% | 0-2 @ 11.01% 0-1 @ 10.72% 1-2 @ 9.9% 0-3 @ 7.53% 1-3 @ 6.77% 0-4 @ 3.87% 1-4 @ 3.48% 2-3 @ 3.04% 0-5 @ 1.59% 2-4 @ 1.56% 1-5 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.19% Total : 64.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
4 | Burnley | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 38 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 20 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 32 |
8 | Watford | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 31 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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