Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 46.61%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 26.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Middlesbrough in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Middlesbrough.