Championship Gameweek 36
Mar 5, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Paddy McNair 17' goal
  • Duncan Watmore 87' goal
  • Joe Lumley 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Josh Coburn 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cameron Jerome 20'
  • yellowcard Danny Hylton 50'
  • yellowcard Henri Lansbury 61'
  • goal Harry Cornick 90'+6'

Middlesbrough vs Luton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Feb 26, 2022 3.00pm
Barnsley 3 - 2 Middlesbrough
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Matt Crooks

Luton Town

All competitions
Last game
Feb 26, 2022 3.00pm
Luton 1 - 0 Derby
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Elijah Adebayo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 46.61%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 26.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Middlesbrough in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Middlesbrough.

Result

Middlesbrough 46.61%
Draw 27.16%
Luton Town 26.23%

Both Teams to Score: 

46.64%

Goals

Over 2.5 42%
Under 2.5 58%
Over 3.5 21.31%
Under 3.5 78.69%

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5 75.11%
Under 0.5 24.89%
Over 1.5 40.49%
Under 1.5 59.5%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5 62.1%
Under 0.5 37.9%
Over 1.5 25.33%
Under 1.5 74.67%

Score analysis

Middlesbrough 46.6%
Draw 27.15%
Luton Town 26.23%
Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 13.11%
2-0 @ 9.12%
2-1 @ 8.85%
3-0 @ 4.23%
3-1 @ 4.1%
3-2 @ 1.99%
4-0 @ 1.47%
4-1 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 46.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.72%
0-0 @ 9.43%
2-2 @ 4.29%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.15%
Luton Town
0-1 @ 9.15%
1-2 @ 6.17%
0-2 @ 4.44%
1-3 @ 2%
0-3 @ 1.44%
2-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 26.23%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 16
Nov 2, 2021 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Daniel Potts 30' yellowcard
  • James Bree 31' yellowcard
  • Sonny Bradley 57' goal
  • Elijah Adebayo 60' goal
  • Harry Cornick 62' goal
  • Fred Onyedinma 70' yellowcard
  • Henri Lansbury 79' yellowcard
  • goal Josh Coburn 15'
  • yellowcard Matt Crooks 39'
  • yellowcard Josh Coburn 59'
  • yellowcard Duncan Watmore 74'
Championship Gameweek 45
May 1, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
  • Glen Rea 19' goal
  • Glen Rea 75' yellowcard
  • goal Duncan Watmore 21'
Championship Gameweek 19
Dec 16, 2020 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Chuba Akpom 52' goal
  • Sam Morsy 66' redcard
  • Britt Assombalonga 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Glen Rea 75'
Championship Gameweek 33
Feb 15, 2020 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Lewis Wing 90' yellowcard
  • goal Ryan Tunnicliffe 17'
  • yellowcard Martin Cranie 38'
  • yellowcard Luke Berry 43'
  • yellowcard Pelly Ruddock 78'
  • yellowcard Isaiah Brown 90'
Championship Gameweek 1
Aug 2, 2019 7.45pm
3
3
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Sonny Bradley 17' goal
  • Martin Cranie 24' goal
  • Pelly Ruddock 45' yellowcard
  • James Collins 49' yellowcard
  • James Collins 85' goal
  • goal Ashley Fletcher 7'
  • goal Britt Assombalonga 37'
  • yellowcard Ashley Fletcher 39'
  • yellowcard Lewis Wing 61'
  • goal Lewis Wing 68'