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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Luton Town | 46 | 8 | 75 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 9 | 70 |
| 8 | Blackburn Rovers | 46 | 9 | 69 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Sheffield United | 46 | 18 | 75 |
| 6 | Luton Town | 46 | 8 | 75 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 9 | 70 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 46.61%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 26.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Middlesbrough in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Middlesbrough.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Luton Town |
| 46.61% | 27.16% | 26.23% |
| Both teams to score 46.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.31% | 78.69% |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.11% | 24.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.49% | 59.5% |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.1% | 37.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.33% | 74.67% |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Luton Town |
| 1-0 @ 13.11% 2-0 @ 9.12% 2-1 @ 8.85% 3-0 @ 4.23% 3-1 @ 4.1% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-0 @ 1.47% 4-1 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.3% Total : 46.6% | 1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 9.43% 2-2 @ 4.29% Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.15% | 0-1 @ 9.15% 1-2 @ 6.17% 0-2 @ 4.44% 1-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 1.44% 2-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.64% Total : 26.23% |