Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 51.08%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Peterborough United had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.95%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Peterborough United win it was 1-0 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.