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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 21 | Reading | 46 | -33 | 41 |
| 22 | Peterborough United | 46 | -44 | 37 |
| 23 | Derby County | 46 | -8 | 34 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Preston North End | 46 | -4 | 64 |
| 14 | Stoke City | 46 | 5 | 62 |
| 15 | Swansea City | 46 | -10 | 61 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 51.08%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Peterborough United had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.95%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Peterborough United win it was 1-0 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough United | Draw | Stoke City |
| 23.1% | 25.82% | 51.08% |
| Both teams to score 47.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.53% | 55.47% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.34% | 76.66% |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.66% | 39.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.96% | 76.04% |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.23% | 21.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.04% | 54.95% |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterborough United | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 7.99% 2-1 @ 5.68% 2-0 @ 3.73% 3-1 @ 1.77% 3-2 @ 1.35% 3-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.43% Total : 23.1% | 1-1 @ 12.18% 0-0 @ 8.56% 2-2 @ 4.33% Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 13.05% 0-2 @ 9.95% 1-2 @ 9.29% 0-3 @ 5.06% 1-3 @ 4.72% 2-3 @ 2.2% 0-4 @ 1.93% 1-4 @ 1.8% Other @ 3.07% Total : 51.07% |