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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 58.95%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 17.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.68%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 58.95% | 23.52% | 17.53% |
| Both teams to score 46.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.83% | 53.17% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.26% | 74.74% |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.23% | 17.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.52% | 48.48% |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.95% | 44.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.84% | 80.16% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 1-0 @ 13.52% 2-0 @ 11.68% 2-1 @ 9.58% 3-0 @ 6.73% 3-1 @ 5.52% 4-0 @ 2.91% 4-1 @ 2.38% 3-2 @ 2.26% 5-0 @ 1% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.4% Total : 58.94% | 1-1 @ 11.08% 0-0 @ 7.83% 2-2 @ 3.93% Other @ 0.68% Total : 23.51% | 0-1 @ 6.42% 1-2 @ 4.55% 0-2 @ 2.63% 1-3 @ 1.24% 2-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.62% Total : 17.53% |