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Championship | Gameweek 33
Feb 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
bet365 Stadium
Birmingham logo

Stoke
2 - 2
Birmingham

Campbell (25', 52')
FT(HT: 1-1)
James (12'), Gardner (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Stoke City 2-1 Birmingham City

Birmingham head into this contest under far less pressure than their hosts, and that could show in their performance. Nevertheless, we feel that the home side should have enough quality to edge this contest by the odd goal in three, potentially with a goal during the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 58.95%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 17.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.68%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawBirmingham City
58.95%23.52%17.53%
Both teams to score 46.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.83%53.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.26%74.74%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.23%17.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.52%48.48%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.95%44.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.84%80.16%
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 58.94%
    Birmingham City 17.53%
    Draw 23.51%
Stoke CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 13.52%
2-0 @ 11.68%
2-1 @ 9.58%
3-0 @ 6.73%
3-1 @ 5.52%
4-0 @ 2.91%
4-1 @ 2.38%
3-2 @ 2.26%
5-0 @ 1%
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 58.94%
1-1 @ 11.08%
0-0 @ 7.83%
2-2 @ 3.93%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 23.51%
0-1 @ 6.42%
1-2 @ 4.55%
0-2 @ 2.63%
1-3 @ 1.24%
2-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 17.53%

How you voted: Stoke vs Birmingham

Stoke City
70.0%
Draw
15.0%
Birmingham City
15.0%
20
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Birmingham
0-0
Stoke
Hogan (49')
Clucas (57'), Powell (67')
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 41
Birmingham
2-0
Stoke
Jutkiewicz (42', 53')
Gardner (85')

Fletcher (45')
Oct 4, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 4
Stoke
1-1
Birmingham
Powell (86')
Chester (56'), Fox (83'), Clucas (85')
Dean (65')
Clayton (87')
Jul 12, 2020 1.30pm
Aug 31, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 6
Birmingham
2-1
Stoke
Jutkiewicz (73'), Bellingham (76')
Crowley (78'), Gardner (94')
Lindsay (58')
McClean (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Rams
12-6
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
16Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
17Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth193882134-1317
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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