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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 85.22%. A draw had a probability of 10.5% and a win for Peterborough United had a probability of 4.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.27%) and 4-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.99%), while for a Peterborough United win it was 0-1 (1.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.
Result | ||
Fulham | Draw | Peterborough United |
85.22% | 10.52% | 4.25% |
Both teams to score 38.41% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.19% | 33.81% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.33% | 55.66% |
Fulham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.42% | 5.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
78.32% | 21.67% |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
40.68% | 59.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
9.7% | 90.29% |
Score Analysis |
Fulham | Draw | Peterborough United |
2-0 @ 13.78% 3-0 @ 13.27% 4-0 @ 9.58% 1-0 @ 9.55% 2-1 @ 7.2% 3-1 @ 6.93% 5-0 @ 5.53% 4-1 @ 5.01% 5-1 @ 2.89% 6-0 @ 2.66% 3-2 @ 1.81% 6-1 @ 1.39% 4-2 @ 1.31% 7-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.2% Total : 85.21% | 1-1 @ 4.99% 0-0 @ 3.31% 2-2 @ 1.88% Other @ 0.35% Total : 10.52% | 0-1 @ 1.73% 1-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.22% Total : 4.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leicester CityLeicester | 44 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 86 | 39 | 47 | 94 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 44 | 27 | 9 | 8 | 80 | 37 | 43 | 90 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 43 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 85 | 53 | 32 | 89 |
4 | Southampton | 44 | 25 | 9 | 10 | 85 | 61 | 24 | 84 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 44 | 20 | 12 | 12 | 67 | 44 | 23 | 72 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 44 | 21 | 9 | 14 | 77 | 61 | 16 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 44 | 19 | 12 | 13 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 69 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 43 | 17 | 12 | 14 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 63 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 64 | 60 | 4 | 63 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 63 |
11 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 44 | 19 | 5 | 20 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 62 |
12 | Bristol City | 44 | 16 | 11 | 17 | 51 | 47 | 4 | 59 |
13 | Sunderland | 44 | 16 | 8 | 20 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 56 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 44 | 15 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 62 | -5 | 56 |
15 | Watford | 44 | 12 | 17 | 15 | 59 | 58 | 1 | 53 |
16 | Millwall | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 53 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 44 | 13 | 11 | 20 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 50 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 44 | 13 | 11 | 20 | 41 | 57 | -16 | 50 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 49 |
20 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 44 | 12 | 12 | 20 | 58 | 69 | -11 | 48 |
21 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 44 | 13 | 8 | 23 | 39 | 68 | -29 | 47 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 44 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 46 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 44 | 9 | 17 | 18 | 47 | 74 | -27 | 44 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 44 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 32 | 85 | -53 | 24 |
> Championship Full Table |