/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fswalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fderlog.png)
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Joel Piroe
8'
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Joel Piroe
16'
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Matt Grimes
68'
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Hannes Wolf
84'
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Tom Lawrence
22'
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Ravel Morrison
81'
Swansea City vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 53.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 21.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Swansea City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Swansea City.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Swansea City Goals
Derby County Goals
Score analysis
2-0 @ 10.05%
2-1 @ 9.6%
3-0 @ 5.52%
3-1 @ 5.27%
3-2 @ 2.52%
4-0 @ 2.27%
4-1 @ 2.17%
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 53.61%
0-0 @ 7.41%
2-2 @ 4.59%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 24.53%
1-2 @ 5.57%
0-2 @ 3.38%
1-3 @ 1.77%
2-3 @ 1.46%
0-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 21.85%