Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.