Championship

Championship | Gameweek 38

Mar 20, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

Liberty Stadium

Swansea
0 - 1
Cardiff

FT(HT: 0-1)

Flint (8')
Morrison (45+1'), Vaulks (81'), Brown (90+1')

Reaction

Cardiff City manager Mick McCarthy pictured on February 16, 2021

Mick McCarthy hails Cardiff's "stoic" performance in Swansea win

The Bluebirds now sit four points outside the top six after Aden Flint's early header clinched derby delight for Mick McCarthy's men.

Mar 20, 21:48

The Match

Match Report

Aden Flint scored the only goal in the eighth minute.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-0 (10.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cardiff City in this match.

Result
Swansea City	Draw	Cardiff City
32.1%	28.43%	39.47%

Both teams to score 46.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.82%

60.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.63%

80.37%

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.52%

34.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.81%

71.19%

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.29%

29.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.23%

65.77%

Score Analysis

Swansea City 32.09%

Cardiff City 39.47%

Draw 28.41%

Swansea City	Draw	Cardiff City
1-0 @ 10.9% 2-1 @ 7.05% 2-0 @ 5.81% 3-1 @ 2.5% 3-0 @ 2.06% 3-2 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.25% Total : 32.09%	1-1 @ 13.23% 0-0 @ 10.24% 2-2 @ 4.28% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.41%	0-1 @ 12.43% 1-2 @ 8.03% 0-2 @ 7.54% 1-3 @ 3.25% 0-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 1.73% 1-4 @ 0.99% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.52% Total : 39.47%