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Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 20, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Liberty Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Swansea
0 - 1
Cardiff

FT(HT: 0-1)
Flint (8')
Morrison (45+1'), Vaulks (81'), Brown (90+1')

The Match

Match Report

Aden Flint scored the only goal in the eighth minute.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-0 (10.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cardiff City in this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawCardiff City
32.1%28.43%39.47%
Both teams to score 46.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.82%60.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.63%80.37%
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.52%34.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.81%71.19%
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.29%29.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.23%65.77%
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 32.09%
    Cardiff City 39.47%
    Draw 28.41%
Swansea CityDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 10.9%
2-1 @ 7.05%
2-0 @ 5.81%
3-1 @ 2.5%
3-0 @ 2.06%
3-2 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 32.09%
1-1 @ 13.23%
0-0 @ 10.24%
2-2 @ 4.28%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.41%
0-1 @ 12.43%
1-2 @ 8.03%
0-2 @ 7.54%
1-3 @ 3.25%
0-3 @ 3.05%
2-3 @ 1.73%
1-4 @ 0.99%
0-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 39.47%

How you voted: Swansea vs Cardiff

Swansea City
50.0%
Draw
35.1%
Cardiff City
14.9%
94
Head to Head
Dec 12, 2020 12.30pm
Gameweek 18
Cardiff
0-2
Swansea

Morrison (18'), Moore (35'), Ralls (46')
Ralls (67')
Lowe (6', 72')
Bennett (14'), Guehi (35')
Jan 12, 2020 12pm
Oct 27, 2019 12pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Sunderland21117332171540
4Burnley2010822471738
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
8Watford199462725231
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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