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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Luton Town | 46 | 8 | 75 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 9 | 70 |
8 | Blackburn Rovers | 46 | 9 | 69 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
17 | Bristol City | 46 | -15 | 55 |
18 | Cardiff City | 46 | -18 | 53 |
19 | Hull City | 46 | -13 | 51 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 50.63%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 24.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Cardiff City |
50.63% | 25.28% | 24.09% |
Both teams to score 50.08% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.44% | 52.56% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.78% | 74.22% |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.23% | 20.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.59% | 53.42% |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.21% | 36.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.42% | 73.58% |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough | Draw | Cardiff City |
1-0 @ 12.01% 2-0 @ 9.44% 2-1 @ 9.44% 3-0 @ 4.95% 3-1 @ 4.94% 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-0 @ 1.94% 4-1 @ 1.94% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.53% Total : 50.63% | 1-1 @ 12% 0-0 @ 7.64% 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 7.64% 1-2 @ 6% 0-2 @ 3.82% 1-3 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.57% 0-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.78% Total : 24.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leicester CityLeicester | 43 | 29 | 4 | 10 | 81 | 39 | 42 | 91 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 44 | 27 | 9 | 8 | 80 | 37 | 43 | 90 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 43 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 85 | 53 | 32 | 89 |
4 | Southampton | 43 | 25 | 9 | 9 | 85 | 56 | 29 | 84 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 44 | 20 | 12 | 12 | 67 | 44 | 23 | 72 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 44 | 21 | 9 | 14 | 77 | 61 | 16 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 43 | 18 | 12 | 13 | 62 | 54 | 8 | 66 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 42 | 17 | 12 | 13 | 66 | 52 | 14 | 63 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 64 | 60 | 4 | 63 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 63 |
11 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 44 | 19 | 5 | 20 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 62 |
12 | Bristol City | 44 | 16 | 11 | 17 | 51 | 47 | 4 | 59 |
13 | Sunderland | 44 | 16 | 8 | 20 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 56 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 44 | 15 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 62 | -5 | 56 |
15 | Watford | 44 | 12 | 17 | 15 | 59 | 58 | 1 | 53 |
16 | Millwall | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 53 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 44 | 13 | 11 | 20 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 50 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 44 | 13 | 11 | 20 | 41 | 57 | -16 | 50 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 49 |
20 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 44 | 12 | 12 | 20 | 58 | 69 | -11 | 48 |
21 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 44 | 13 | 8 | 23 | 39 | 68 | -29 | 47 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 44 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 46 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 44 | 9 | 17 | 18 | 47 | 74 | -27 | 44 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 44 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 32 | 85 | -53 | 24 |
> Championship Full Table |