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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 30, 2022 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Birmingham logo

Cardiff
1 - 1
Birmingham

Vaulks (82' pen.)
McGuinness (48'), Drameh (57'), Nelson (67'), Vaulks (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bela (22')
Gordon (58'), Etheridge (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawBirmingham City
44.39%26.22%29.38%
Both teams to score 51.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.15%52.85%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.53%74.46%
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.3%23.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.19%57.81%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.38%32.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.83%69.16%
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 44.38%
    Birmingham City 29.38%
    Draw 26.22%
Cardiff CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 11.12%
2-1 @ 8.98%
2-0 @ 8.01%
3-1 @ 4.31%
3-0 @ 3.85%
3-2 @ 2.41%
4-1 @ 1.55%
4-0 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 44.38%
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 7.73%
2-2 @ 5.03%
3-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 8.66%
1-2 @ 6.98%
0-2 @ 4.85%
1-3 @ 2.61%
2-3 @ 1.88%
0-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 29.38%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Birmingham

Cardiff City
42.9%
Draw
47.6%
Birmingham City
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
2-2
Cardiff
Deeney (29'), Sunjic (45+1')
Sunjic (63'), Friend (85')
Moore (66'), McGuinness (90+1')
Nelson (16'), Ralls (72')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
0-4
Cardiff

Dean (84')
Wilson (9', 40', 86'), Harris (68')
Pack (61')
Dec 16, 2020 7pm
Cardiff
3-2
Birmingham
Glatzel (10'), Wilson (78'), Morrison (89')
Bacuna (28'), Ojo (43')
Roberts (31'), Sanchez (57')
Toral (21'), Colin (53')
Nov 2, 2019 3pm
Cardiff
4-2
Birmingham
Ralls (30' pen., 69', 94' pen.), Nelson (38')
Peltier (92')
Ward (52')
Pedersen (3'), Sunjic (89')
Sunjic (32'), Jutkiewicz (85'), Roberts (94')
Dean (92')
rhs 2.0


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