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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
St Andrew's
West Brom logo

Birmingham
1 - 0
West Brom

Taylor (67' pen.)
Taylor (75'), Bacuna (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Livermore (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 1-2 Blackburn
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 0-1 West Bromwich Albion

Despite the difference in league positions, this has all the makings of a really tight game. While we would not be surprised if Blues earn a share of the spoils in a low-scoring draw, the Baggies may just do enough to claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 46.58%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 25.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.25%) and 1-2 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
25.95%27.47%46.58%
Both teams to score 45.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.74%59.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.33%79.67%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.15%38.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.42%75.57%
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.53%25.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.69%60.31%
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 25.95%
    West Bromwich Albion 46.58%
    Draw 27.47%
Birmingham CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 9.36%
2-1 @ 6.05%
2-0 @ 4.42%
3-1 @ 1.91%
3-0 @ 1.4%
3-2 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 25.95%
1-1 @ 12.79%
0-0 @ 9.89%
2-2 @ 4.14%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 27.47%
0-1 @ 13.53%
0-2 @ 9.25%
1-2 @ 8.75%
0-3 @ 4.22%
1-3 @ 3.99%
2-3 @ 1.89%
0-4 @ 1.44%
1-4 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 46.58%

How you voted: Birmingham vs West Brom

Birmingham City
21.3%
Draw
29.8%
West Bromwich Albion
48.9%
47
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2021 8pm
Jul 31, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
0-4
West Brom
Diangana (50'), Clarke (69'), Grant (73' pen.), Tulloch (86')
Mar 29, 2019 8pm
West Brom
3-2
Birmingham
Gayle (47'), Rodriguez (65' pen.), Livermore (74')
Dawson (30'), Brunt (98')
Gardner (7'), Jutkiewicz (59')
Dean (24'), Pedersen (46'), Gardner (68'), Gardner (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
2Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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