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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
St Andrew's
West Brom logo

Birmingham
1 - 0
West Brom

Taylor (67' pen.)
Taylor (75'), Bacuna (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Livermore (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 1-2 Blackburn
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 0-1 West Bromwich Albion

Despite the difference in league positions, this has all the makings of a really tight game. While we would not be surprised if Blues earn a share of the spoils in a low-scoring draw, the Baggies may just do enough to claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 46.58%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 25.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.25%) and 1-2 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
25.95%27.47%46.58%
Both teams to score 45.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.74%59.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.33%79.67%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.15%38.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.42%75.57%
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.53%25.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.69%60.31%
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 25.95%
    West Bromwich Albion 46.58%
    Draw 27.47%
Birmingham CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 9.36%
2-1 @ 6.05%
2-0 @ 4.42%
3-1 @ 1.91%
3-0 @ 1.4%
3-2 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 25.95%
1-1 @ 12.79%
0-0 @ 9.89%
2-2 @ 4.14%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 27.47%
0-1 @ 13.53%
0-2 @ 9.25%
1-2 @ 8.75%
0-3 @ 4.22%
1-3 @ 3.99%
2-3 @ 1.89%
0-4 @ 1.44%
1-4 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 46.58%

How you voted: Birmingham vs West Brom

Birmingham City
21.3%
Draw
29.8%
West Bromwich Albion
48.9%
47
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2021 8pm
Jul 31, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
0-4
West Brom
Diangana (50'), Clarke (69'), Grant (73' pen.), Tulloch (86')
Mar 29, 2019 8pm
West Brom
3-2
Birmingham
Gayle (47'), Rodriguez (65' pen.), Livermore (74')
Dawson (30'), Brunt (98')
Gardner (7'), Jutkiewicz (59')
Dean (24'), Pedersen (46'), Gardner (68'), Gardner (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ipswich TownIpswich432611685533289
2Leicester CityLeicester422841079384188
3Leeds UnitedLeeds43269876344287
4Southampton42259884543084
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4320121166422472
6Norwich CityNorwich432181476601671
7Hull City421811136254865
8Coventry CityCoventry4217121366521463
9Middlesbrough43189166156563
10Preston North EndPreston43189165660-463
11Cardiff CityCardiff43185204860-1259
12Bristol City431610175046458
13Sunderland43168195250256
14Swansea CitySwansea431411185362-953
15Watford431216155958152
16Millwall431311194255-1350
17Blackburn RoversBlackburn431310205771-1449
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth431212195866-848
19Queens Park RangersQPR431211204057-1747
20Stoke CityStoke431211204160-1947
21Birmingham CityBirmingham43129224864-1645
22Huddersfield TownHuddersfield43917174770-2344
23Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds43128233667-3144
RRotherham UnitedRotherham43411283285-5323


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