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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Blackpool | 46 | -4 | 60 |
| 17 | Bristol City | 46 | -15 | 55 |
| 18 | Cardiff City | 46 | -18 | 53 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Hull City | 46 | -13 | 51 |
| 20 | Birmingham City | 46 | -25 | 47 |
| 21 | Reading | 46 | -33 | 41 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 37.29%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 37.29% | 26.87% | 35.83% |
| Both teams to score 51.32% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.14% | 53.86% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.68% | 75.32% |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.07% | 27.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.45% | 63.55% |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.2% | 28.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.35% | 64.65% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol City | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 1-0 @ 10.25% 2-1 @ 8.15% 2-0 @ 6.54% 3-1 @ 3.46% 3-0 @ 2.78% 3-2 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.84% Total : 37.29% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.04% 2-2 @ 5.07% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.87% | 0-1 @ 10.01% 1-2 @ 7.95% 0-2 @ 6.23% 1-3 @ 3.3% 0-3 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.63% Total : 35.83% |