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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 36.17%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.6%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (11.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 36.17% | 28.65% | 35.18% |
| Both teams to score 45.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.37% | 60.62% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.29% | 80.71% |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.04% | 31.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.59% | 68.41% |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.4% | 32.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.85% | 69.14% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol City | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 1-0 @ 11.88% 2-1 @ 7.6% 2-0 @ 6.78% 3-1 @ 2.89% 3-0 @ 2.58% 3-2 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.82% Total : 36.17% | 1-1 @ 13.32% 0-0 @ 10.41% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.64% | 0-1 @ 11.67% 1-2 @ 7.47% 0-2 @ 6.54% 1-3 @ 2.79% 0-3 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.67% Total : 35.17% |