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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Hull City | 46 | -13 | 51 |
| 20 | Birmingham City | 46 | -25 | 47 |
| 21 | Reading | 46 | -33 | 41 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Queens Park Rangers | 46 | 1 | 66 |
| 12 | Coventry City | 46 | 1 | 64 |
| 13 | Preston North End | 46 | -4 | 64 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 43.47%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Coventry City |
| 29.33% | 27.2% | 43.47% |
| Both teams to score 48.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.39% | 56.61% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.42% | 77.58% |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.36% | 34.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.64% | 71.36% |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.17% | 25.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.2% | 60.8% |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City | Draw | Coventry City |
| 1-0 @ 9.49% 2-1 @ 6.81% 2-0 @ 5.03% 3-1 @ 2.41% 3-0 @ 1.78% 3-2 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.2% Total : 29.33% | 1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 8.95% 2-2 @ 4.61% Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.2% | 0-1 @ 12.11% 1-2 @ 8.69% 0-2 @ 8.2% 1-3 @ 3.92% 0-3 @ 3.7% 2-3 @ 2.08% 1-4 @ 1.33% 0-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.2% Total : 43.47% |