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Championship | Gameweek 39
Mar 19, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Pride Park
Coventry City

Derby
1 - 1
Coventry

Lawrence (66' pen.)
Byrne (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Godden (28')
Bidwell (22'), Dabo (54'), Hamer (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Derby County 1-2 Coventry City

With a draw doing neither side any good, we expect both clubs to push hard for all three points at the weekend. However, with the home side under the greater pressure, that may benefit Coventry, who we are backing to claim a late win at Pride Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawCoventry City
40.23%27.13%32.64%
Both teams to score 49.97%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.68%55.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.47%76.53%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.04%26.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.71%62.29%
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.42%31.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.02%67.98%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 40.22%
    Coventry City 32.64%
    Draw 27.13%
Derby CountyDrawCoventry City
1-0 @ 11.15%
2-1 @ 8.43%
2-0 @ 7.32%
3-1 @ 3.69%
3-0 @ 3.2%
3-2 @ 2.12%
4-1 @ 1.21%
4-0 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 40.22%
1-1 @ 12.86%
0-0 @ 8.51%
2-2 @ 4.86%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.13%
0-1 @ 9.81%
1-2 @ 7.41%
0-2 @ 5.65%
1-3 @ 2.85%
0-3 @ 2.17%
2-3 @ 1.87%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 32.64%

How you voted: Derby vs Coventry

Derby County
41.5%
Draw
18.9%
Coventry City
39.6%
53
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2022 12.30pm
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Coventry
1-1
Derby
Godden (20' pen.)
Maatsen (44')
Shinnie (78')
Davies (71'), Morrison (88')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Coventry
1-0
Derby
Biamou (11')
Hamer (30'), McCallum (89')

Clarke (9'), Buchanan (37'), Knight (49'), Kazim-Richards (57')
Dec 1, 2020 7.45pm
Derby
1-1
Coventry
Kazim-Richards (83')
Kazim-Richards (11'), Holmes (63'), Bielik (68'), Clarke (87')
Hamer (90+1')
O'Hare (73')
Jul 25, 2018 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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