Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.