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Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2022 at 8pm UK
Pride Park
Fulham logo

Derby
2 - 1
Fulham

Plange (51'), Adarabioyo (73' og.)
Thompson (33'), Lawrence (61'), Allsop (89'), Cashin (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Carvalho (20')
Bryan (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Derby County and Fulham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 4-0 Fulham
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Derby County 0-2 Fulham

Given Derby's home form, it is difficult to rule out the Rams against any second-tier opponents at Pride Park. However, defeat for Fulham in their last game is the worst thing that could have happened for the East Midlands side, and the inevitable reaction from their opponents should lead to an away win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 51.52%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 23.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.66%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Derby County win it was 1-0 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawFulham
23.36%25.12%51.52%
Both teams to score 49.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.42%52.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.77%74.23%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.53%37.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.75%74.25%
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.59%20.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.16%52.84%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 23.36%
    Fulham 51.52%
    Draw 25.11%
Derby CountyDrawFulham
1-0 @ 7.51%
2-1 @ 5.86%
2-0 @ 3.68%
3-1 @ 1.92%
3-2 @ 1.52%
3-0 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 23.36%
1-1 @ 11.92%
0-0 @ 7.65%
2-2 @ 4.65%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 12.15%
0-2 @ 9.66%
1-2 @ 9.48%
0-3 @ 5.12%
1-3 @ 5.02%
2-3 @ 2.47%
0-4 @ 2.03%
1-4 @ 2%
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 51.52%

How you voted: Derby vs Fulham

Derby County
18.8%
Draw
12.0%
Fulham
69.2%
117
Head to Head
Nov 24, 2021 7.45pm
Feb 21, 2020 7.45pm
Nov 26, 2019 7.45pm
Fulham
3-0
Derby
Reid (7'), Mitrovic (40'), Cairney (89')
Cavaleiro (34')

Forsyth (45'), Dowell (92')
May 14, 2018 7.45pm
Fulham
2-0
Derby
Sessegnon (47'), Odoi (66')
Johansen (62'), Kamara (74'), McDonald (78'), Bettinelli (90')

Huddlestone (77'), Palmer (78')
May 11, 2018 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
15Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
16Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
17Derby CountyDerby205692226-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth183872130-917
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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