Championship

Championship | Gameweek 44

Apr 23, 2022 at 3pm UK

Pride Park

Derby
1 - 3
Bristol City

Forsyth (61')
Byrne (54')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Weimann (10'), Semenyo (38'), Klose (79')
Williams (9'), Benarous (16'), Semenyo (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

Last Six:

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
22	Peterborough United	46	-44	37
23	Derby County	46	-8	34
24	Barnsley	46	-40	30

Bristol City

Last Six:

Last Game: Huddersfield 2-0 Bristol City
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Blackpool	46	-4	60
17	Bristol City	46	-15	55
18	Cardiff City	46	-18	53

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 52.84%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 23.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Bristol City
52.84%	23.98%	23.18%

Both teams to score 53.03%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.83%

48.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.68%

70.32%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.82%

18.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.83%

49.18%

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.81%

35.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.06%

71.94%

Score Analysis

Derby County 52.83%

Bristol City 23.18%

Draw 23.98%

Derby County	Draw	Bristol City
1-0 @ 10.9% 2-1 @ 9.71% 2-0 @ 9.3% 3-1 @ 5.52% 3-0 @ 5.28% 3-2 @ 2.88% 4-1 @ 2.35% 4-0 @ 2.25% 4-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.41% Total : 52.83%	1-1 @ 11.39% 0-0 @ 6.4% 2-2 @ 5.07% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.98%	0-1 @ 6.68% 1-2 @ 5.95% 0-2 @ 3.49% 1-3 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.01% Total : 23.18%