Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 76.45%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 8.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.79%) and 3-0 (10.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.27%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (2.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.