Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 27.81% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.