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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 56.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Bristol City |
| 56.1% | 23.7% | 20.2% |
| Both teams to score 49.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.65% | 50.35% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.7% | 72.29% |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.22% | 17.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.51% | 48.49% |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.65% | 39.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.95% | 76.05% |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Bristol City |
| 1-0 @ 12.08% 2-0 @ 10.43% 2-1 @ 9.73% 3-0 @ 6.01% 3-1 @ 5.6% 3-2 @ 2.61% 4-0 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 2.42% 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.48% Total : 56.09% | 1-1 @ 11.27% 0-0 @ 7% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.9% Total : 23.7% | 0-1 @ 6.53% 1-2 @ 5.26% 0-2 @ 3.04% 1-3 @ 1.63% 2-3 @ 1.41% 0-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.38% Total : 20.2% |