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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Peterborough United | 46 | -44 | 37 |
| 23 | Derby County | 46 | -8 | 34 |
| 24 | Barnsley | 46 | -40 | 30 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Fulham | 46 | 63 | 90 |
| 2 | Bournemouth | 46 | 35 | 88 |
| 3 | Huddersfield Town | 46 | 17 | 82 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 63.92%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 14.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.05%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Barnsley win it was 1-0 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Fulham |
| 14.9% | 21.18% | 63.92% |
| Both teams to score 47.4% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.69% | 48.3% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.54% | 70.45% |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.4% | 44.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.39% | 80.61% |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.57% | 14.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.63% | 42.36% |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnsley | Draw | Fulham |
| 1-0 @ 5.2% 2-1 @ 4.06% 2-0 @ 2.1% 3-1 @ 1.09% 3-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.39% Total : 14.9% | 1-1 @ 10.05% 0-0 @ 6.44% 2-2 @ 3.93% Other @ 0.75% Total : 21.17% | 0-1 @ 12.45% 0-2 @ 12.05% 1-2 @ 9.74% 0-3 @ 7.78% 1-3 @ 6.28% 0-4 @ 3.77% 1-4 @ 3.04% 2-3 @ 2.54% 0-5 @ 1.46% 2-4 @ 1.23% 1-5 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.39% Total : 63.9% |