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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Peterborough United | 46 | -44 | 37 |
| 23 | Derby County | 46 | -8 | 34 |
| 24 | Barnsley | 46 | -40 | 30 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Coventry City | 46 | 1 | 64 |
| 13 | Preston North End | 46 | -4 | 64 |
| 14 | Stoke City | 46 | 5 | 62 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Preston North End |
| 41.24% | 27.77% | 31% |
| Both teams to score 47.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.9% | 58.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.23% | 78.77% |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.29% | 27.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.73% | 63.27% |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.82% | 34.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.13% | 70.88% |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnsley | Draw | Preston North End |
| 1-0 @ 12.15% 2-1 @ 8.37% 2-0 @ 7.8% 3-1 @ 3.58% 3-0 @ 3.34% 3-2 @ 1.92% 4-1 @ 1.15% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.85% Total : 41.23% | 1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 9.47% 2-2 @ 4.49% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.76% | 0-1 @ 10.16% 1-2 @ 7% 0-2 @ 5.46% 1-3 @ 2.51% 0-3 @ 1.95% 2-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.3% Total : 30.99% |