Championship

Championship | Gameweek 37

Mar 12, 2022 at 3pm UK

Dean Court

Bournemouth
2 - 0
Derby

Solanke (45+5'), Lowe (90')
Stacey (45+1'), Cantwell (63'), Christie (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Morrison (69'), Davies (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bournemouth and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bournemouth

Last Six:

Last Game: Bournemouth 1-0 Millwall
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Fulham	46	63	90
2	Bournemouth	46	35	88
3	Huddersfield Town	46	17	82

Derby County

Last Six:

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
22	Peterborough United	46	-44	37
23	Derby County	46	-8	34
24	Barnsley	46	-40	30

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 71.64%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 10.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.65%) and 3-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bournemouth in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bournemouth.

Result
Bournemouth	Draw	Derby County
71.64%	18.09%	10.27%

Both teams to score 43.47%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.95%

46.05%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.65%

68.35%

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.49%

11.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.61%

36.39%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.13%

50.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.75%

85.25%

Score Analysis

Bournemouth 71.62%

Derby County 10.27%

Draw 18.09%

Bournemouth	Draw	Derby County
2-0 @ 13.68% 1-0 @ 12.65% 3-0 @ 9.86% 2-1 @ 9.25% 3-1 @ 6.67% 4-0 @ 5.33% 4-1 @ 3.6% 5-0 @ 2.31% 3-2 @ 2.25% 5-1 @ 1.56% 4-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.25% Total : 71.62%	1-1 @ 8.56% 0-0 @ 5.86% 2-2 @ 3.13% Other @ 0.56% Total : 18.09%	0-1 @ 3.96% 1-2 @ 2.89% 0-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.09% Total : 10.27%