Championship Gameweek 37
Mar 12, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jack Stacey 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Dominic Solanke 45'+5' goal
  • Todd Cantwell 63' yellowcard
  • Ryan Christie 89' yellowcard
  • Jamal Lowe 90' goal
  • yellowcard Ravel Morrison 69'
  • yellowcard Curtis Davies 71'

Bournemouth vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bournemouth

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Bournemouth 1 - 1 Peterborough
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Dominic Solanke

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Mar 5, 2022 3.00pm
Derby 2 - 0 Barnsley
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Tom Lawrence

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 71.64%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 10.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.65%) and 3-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bournemouth in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bournemouth.

Result

Bournemouth 71.64%
Draw 18.09%
Derby County 10.27%

Both Teams to Score: 

43.47%

Goals

Over 2.5 53.95%
Under 2.5 46.05%
Over 3.5 31.65%
Under 3.5 68.35%

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5 88.49%
Under 0.5 11.51%
Over 1.5 63.61%
Under 1.5 36.39%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 49.13%
Under 0.5 50.87%
Over 1.5 14.75%
Under 1.5 85.25%

Score analysis

Bournemouth 71.62%
Draw 18.09%
Derby County 10.27%
Bournemouth
2-0 @ 13.68%
1-0 @ 12.65%
3-0 @ 9.86%
2-1 @ 9.25%
3-1 @ 6.67%
4-0 @ 5.33%
4-1 @ 3.6%
5-0 @ 2.31%
3-2 @ 2.25%
5-1 @ 1.56%
4-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 71.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.56%
0-0 @ 5.86%
2-2 @ 3.13%
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 18.09%
Derby County
0-1 @ 3.96%
1-2 @ 2.89%
0-2 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 10.27%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 18
Nov 21, 2021 12.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Jason Knight 13' goal
  • Tom Lawrence 62' goal
  • Tom Lawrence 69' goal
  • goal Jaidon Anthony 19'
  • goal Dominic Solanke 38'
  • yellowcard Philip Billing 54'
Championship Gameweek 25
Jan 19, 2021 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Krystian Bielik 32' goal
  • yellowcard Lewis Cook 71'
Championship Gameweek 9
Oct 31, 2020 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Vitality Stadium
  • Philip Billing 12' yellowcard
  • Diego Rico 24' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Riquelme 81' goal
  • yellowcard Jason Knight 2'
  • goal Graeme Shinnie 14'
Championship
Feb 10, 2015 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Matt Ritchie 12' goal
  • Callum Wilson 44' goal
  • goal Thomas Ince 30'
  • goal Darren Bent 68'
  • yellowcard Will Hughes 85'
Championship
Sep 30, 2014 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Will Hughes 81' goal
  • Chris Martin 93' goal
  • yellowcard Simon Francis 64'
  • redcard Lee Camp 68'
Championship
Feb 22, 2014 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jake Buxton 60' yellowcard
  • Craig Forsyth 79' yellowcard
  • Chris Martin 85' goal
  • yellowcard Lee Camp 51'
  • yellowcard Harry Arter 81'
  • yellowcard Tommy Elphick 84'
  • yellowcard Simon Francis 89'