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Scott Wharton
53'
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Tyrhys Dolan
59'
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Lewis Travis
83'
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Sam Gallagher
90'+7'
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Ravel Morrison
28'
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Ravel Morrison
67'
Blackburn Rovers vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 55.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 19.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Derby County Goals
Score analysis
2-0 @ 10.91%
2-1 @ 9.54%
3-0 @ 6.02%
3-1 @ 5.26%
4-0 @ 2.49%
3-2 @ 2.3%
4-1 @ 2.18%
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 55.78%
0-0 @ 7.98%
2-2 @ 4.17%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 24.43%
1-2 @ 5.05%
0-2 @ 3.05%
1-3 @ 1.47%
2-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 19.78%
John Buckley
90'