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Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 15, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Ewood Park
Derby logo

Blackburn
3 - 1
Derby

Wharton (53'), Dolan (59'), Gallagher (90+7')
Travis (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Morrison (28')
Morrison (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Derby County

This is a huge game for both sides at a vital stage of the season, and it is set to be a fascinating match at Ewood Park. Derby are certainly capable of picking up a positive result, but we are expecting Blackburn's home form to help them secure an important three points here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 55.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 19.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawDerby County
55.79%24.43%19.78%
Both teams to score 47.13%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.34%53.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.84%75.16%
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.87%19.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.22%50.78%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.29%41.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.81%78.19%
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 55.78%
    Derby County 19.78%
    Draw 24.43%
Blackburn RoversDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 13.19%
2-0 @ 10.91%
2-1 @ 9.54%
3-0 @ 6.02%
3-1 @ 5.26%
4-0 @ 2.49%
3-2 @ 2.3%
4-1 @ 2.18%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 55.78%
1-1 @ 11.54%
0-0 @ 7.98%
2-2 @ 4.17%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 24.43%
0-1 @ 6.98%
1-2 @ 5.05%
0-2 @ 3.05%
1-3 @ 1.47%
2-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 19.78%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Derby

Blackburn Rovers
63.8%
Draw
20.0%
Derby County
16.3%
80
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Derby
1-2
Blackburn
Davies (89')
Shinnie (29'), Lawrence (50')
Brereton Diaz (8', 20')
Lenihan (59'), Buckley (85'), Khadra (88'), Poveda (89'), Travis (90+1')
Apr 16, 2021 6pm
Blackburn
2-1
Derby
Gallagher (42'), Elliott (66')
Holtby (32'), Elliott (67')
Lawrence (22')
Clarke (45+1')
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
Derby
0-4
Blackburn

Buchanan (33'), Rooney (80')
Dolan (11'), Johnson (12', 15'), Armstrong (78')
Johnson (36'), Lenihan (42'), Rothwell (66')
Dec 7, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds38257670284282
2Leicester CityLeicester37264774334182
3Ipswich TownIpswich38249580493181
4Southampton36227773472673
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381991059362366
6Norwich CityNorwich381871369541561
7Hull City371610115346758
8Coventry CityCoventry3715121059431657
9Preston North EndPreston37168134954-556
10Middlesbrough38166165352154
11Cardiff CityCardiff38165174351-853
12Sunderland38146184845348
13Watford381212145351248
14Bristol City38138174245-347
15Swansea CitySwansea381210164858-1046
16Millwall381110173650-1443
17Blackburn RoversBlackburn38119185164-1342
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth381011175462-841
19Stoke CityStoke38118193553-1841
20Queens Park RangersQPR381010183650-1440
21Birmingham CityBirmingham38109194259-1739
22Huddersfield TownHuddersfield38815154261-1939
23Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38115223061-3138
24Rotherham UnitedRotherham38311243077-4720


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