Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 57.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 20.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.