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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Swansea City | 46 | -10 | 61 |
| 16 | Blackpool | 46 | -4 | 60 |
| 17 | Bristol City | 46 | -15 | 55 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Peterborough United | 46 | -44 | 37 |
| 23 | Derby County | 46 | -8 | 34 |
| 24 | Barnsley | 46 | -40 | 30 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 57.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 20.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Blackpool | Draw | Derby County |
| 57.25% | 22.58% | 20.16% |
| Both teams to score 53.32% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.28% | 45.72% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.96% | 68.04% |
| Blackpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.28% | 15.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.19% | 44.81% |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.27% | 36.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.48% | 73.51% |
| Score Analysis |
| Blackpool | Draw | Derby County |
| 1-0 @ 10.68% 2-1 @ 9.9% 2-0 @ 9.88% 3-1 @ 6.11% 3-0 @ 6.1% 3-2 @ 3.06% 4-1 @ 2.82% 4-0 @ 2.82% 4-2 @ 1.41% 5-1 @ 1.05% 5-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.39% Total : 57.25% | 1-1 @ 10.7% 0-0 @ 5.77% 2-2 @ 4.96% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.58% | 0-1 @ 5.78% 1-2 @ 5.36% 0-2 @ 2.9% 1-3 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.72% Total : 20.16% |