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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Luton Town | 46 | 8 | 75 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 9 | 70 |
| 8 | Blackburn Rovers | 46 | 9 | 69 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Fulham | 46 | 63 | 90 |
| 2 | Bournemouth | 46 | 35 | 88 |
| 3 | Huddersfield Town | 46 | 17 | 82 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 50.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 23.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.72%) and 1-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Middlesbrough win it was 1-0 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Fulham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fulham.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Fulham |
| 23.66% | 25.74% | 50.59% |
| Both teams to score 48.29% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.31% | 54.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.98% | 76.01% |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.63% | 38.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.88% | 75.12% |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.34% | 21.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.21% | 54.78% |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Fulham |
| 1-0 @ 7.96% 2-1 @ 5.83% 2-0 @ 3.81% 3-1 @ 1.86% 3-2 @ 1.43% 3-0 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.55% Total : 23.66% | 1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 8.31% 2-2 @ 4.46% Other @ 0.8% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 12.71% 0-2 @ 9.72% 1-2 @ 9.32% 0-3 @ 4.96% 1-3 @ 4.75% 2-3 @ 2.28% 0-4 @ 1.9% 1-4 @ 1.82% Other @ 3.14% Total : 50.59% |