Championship

Championship | Gameweek 45

Apr 30, 2022 at 3pm UK

Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough
3 - 1
Stoke

Crooks (21', 72'), Baker (25' og.)

FT(HT: 2-0)

Powell (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

Last Six:

Last Game: Preston 4-1 Middlesbrough
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Luton Town	46	8	75
7	Middlesbrough	46	9	70
8	Blackburn Rovers	46	9	69

Stoke City

Last Six:

Last Game: Stoke 1-1 Coventry
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Preston North End	46	-4	64
14	Stoke City	46	5	62
15	Swansea City	46	-10	61

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.51%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 25.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Stoke City
48.51%	26.13%	25.35%

Both teams to score 48.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.15%

54.85%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.85%

76.15%

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.36%

22.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.74%

56.26%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.07%

36.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.28%

73.72%

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 48.51%

Stoke City 25.35%

Draw 26.13%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 12.41% 2-0 @ 9.23% 2-1 @ 9.19% 3-0 @ 4.57% 3-1 @ 4.55% 3-2 @ 2.27% 4-0 @ 1.7% 4-1 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.91% Total : 48.51%	1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 8.36% 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.13%	0-1 @ 8.33% 1-2 @ 6.16% 0-2 @ 4.15% 1-3 @ 2.05% 2-3 @ 1.52% 0-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 1.77% Total : 25.35%