Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.