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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 20 | Birmingham City | 46 | -25 | 47 |
| 21 | Reading | 46 | -33 | 41 |
| 22 | Peterborough United | 46 | -44 | 37 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 9 | 70 |
| 8 | Blackburn Rovers | 46 | 9 | 69 |
| 9 | Millwall | 46 | 8 | 69 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 42.26%. A win for Reading had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
| 31.47% | 26.27% | 42.26% |
| Both teams to score 52.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.8% | 52.2% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.09% | 73.91% |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.2% | 30.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.93% | 67.07% |
| Blackburn Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.54% | 24.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.09% | 58.9% |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 8.87% 2-1 @ 7.36% 2-0 @ 5.23% 3-1 @ 2.89% 3-0 @ 2.05% 3-2 @ 2.03% Other @ 3.04% Total : 31.47% | 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 7.53% 2-2 @ 5.18% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.26% | 0-1 @ 10.6% 1-2 @ 8.8% 0-2 @ 7.47% 1-3 @ 4.13% 0-3 @ 3.51% 2-3 @ 2.43% 1-4 @ 1.45% 0-4 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.64% Total : 42.25% |