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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 20 | Birmingham City | 46 | -25 | 47 |
| 21 | Reading | 46 | -33 | 41 |
| 22 | Peterborough United | 46 | -44 | 37 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Preston North End | 46 | -4 | 64 |
| 14 | Stoke City | 46 | 5 | 62 |
| 15 | Swansea City | 46 | -10 | 61 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for Reading had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Stoke City |
| 28.55% | 26.31% | 45.13% |
| Both teams to score 50.67% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.42% | 53.58% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.91% | 75.09% |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.37% | 33.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.72% | 70.28% |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.34% | 23.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.24% | 57.76% |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 8.67% 2-1 @ 6.81% 2-0 @ 4.72% 3-1 @ 2.47% 3-2 @ 1.78% 3-0 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.38% Total : 28.55% | 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 7.96% 2-2 @ 4.91% Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.3% | 0-1 @ 11.46% 1-2 @ 9.01% 0-2 @ 8.27% 1-3 @ 4.33% 0-3 @ 3.97% 2-3 @ 2.36% 1-4 @ 1.56% 0-4 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.75% Total : 45.13% |