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Apr 9, 2022 at 3pm UK at The Hawthorns
West Brom
1 - 3
Stoke
Robinson (73')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Livermore (16' og.), Brown (59'), Baker (90+4')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 1-1 Coventry
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: West Bromwich Albion 2-1 Stoke City

While West Brom are currently in the habit of raising their game against the better teams, that has not been the case against the rest of the division. That said, Stoke have been disappointing on their travels for some time, and it would come as a surprise if the Baggies do not edge this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawStoke City
41.32%26.62%32.06%
Both teams to score 51.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.56%53.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.04%74.96%
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.5%25.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.65%60.35%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.98%31.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.67%67.33%
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 41.32%
    Stoke City 32.06%
    Draw 26.61%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.8%
2-1 @ 8.65%
2-0 @ 7.39%
3-1 @ 3.94%
3-0 @ 3.36%
3-2 @ 2.31%
4-1 @ 1.35%
4-0 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 41.32%
1-1 @ 12.65%
0-0 @ 7.91%
2-2 @ 5.06%
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.61%
0-1 @ 9.26%
1-2 @ 7.41%
0-2 @ 5.42%
1-3 @ 2.89%
0-3 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 1.97%
Other @ 3%
Total : 32.06%

How you voted: West Brom vs Stoke

West Bromwich Albion
76.7%
Draw
3.3%
Stoke City
20.0%
30
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2021 7.45pm
Stoke
1-0
West Brom
Powell (79')
Davies (75'), Surridge (90+5')

Livermore (51'), Johnstone (90+5')
Jan 20, 2020 8pm
West Brom
0-1
Stoke

Bartley (45')
Campbell (9')
Lindsay (28'), Allen (45'), Smith (91')
Feb 9, 2019 5.30pm
Sep 1, 2018 3pm
West Brom
2-1
Stoke
Gayle (16', 59')
Bartley (45'), Phillips (54'), Livermore (71')
Pieters (90')
Pieters (19')

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