Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.