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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 23, 2022 at 3pm UK
St Andrew's
Millwall logo

Birmingham
2 - 2
Millwall

Bacuna (47'), Taylor (79' pen.)
Roberts (52'), Taylor (54'), Sunjic (86'), Bacuna (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Burke (68'), Afobe (90+8')
Saville (25'), McNamara (72'), Cooper (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 1-2 Blackburn
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 0-2 Millwall

While the pressure will be on playoff-chasing Millwall to claim maximum points, there is also plenty of pressure on Birmingham, with their supporters desperate to see a response to their heavy defeat on Monday. Millwall have fared better on home soil this season, but we can see them ending a four-game winless away run with victory over their out-of-form counterparts on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawMillwall
30.57%27.77%41.66%
Both teams to score 47.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.76%58.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.12%78.87%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.43%34.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.71%71.29%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.46%27.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.94%63.05%
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 30.56%
    Millwall 41.66%
    Draw 27.77%
Birmingham CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 10.11%
2-1 @ 6.93%
2-0 @ 5.37%
3-1 @ 2.45%
3-0 @ 1.9%
3-2 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 30.56%
1-1 @ 13.04%
0-0 @ 9.52%
2-2 @ 4.47%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.77%
0-1 @ 12.27%
1-2 @ 8.41%
0-2 @ 7.92%
1-3 @ 3.61%
0-3 @ 3.4%
2-3 @ 1.92%
1-4 @ 1.17%
0-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 41.66%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Millwall

Birmingham City
25.8%
Draw
21.2%
Millwall
53.0%
66
Head to Head
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Millwall
3-1
Birmingham
Wallace (10'), Bradshaw (41'), Evans (74')
Deeney (56')
Pedersen (20'), Roberts (50')
Feb 17, 2021 7pm
Millwall
2-0
Birmingham
Wallace (3'), Thompson (75')
Romeo (78'), Woods (80')

Harper (53'), Jutkiewicz (70')
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Sunderland21117332171540
4Burnley2010822471738
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
8Watford199462725231
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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