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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 23, 2022 at 3pm UK
St Andrew's
Millwall logo

Birmingham
2 - 2
Millwall

Bacuna (47'), Taylor (79' pen.)
Roberts (52'), Taylor (54'), Sunjic (86'), Bacuna (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Burke (68'), Afobe (90+8')
Saville (25'), McNamara (72'), Cooper (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawMillwall
30.57%27.77%41.66%
Both teams to score 47.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.76%58.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.12%78.87%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.43%34.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.71%71.29%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.46%27.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.94%63.05%
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 30.56%
    Millwall 41.66%
    Draw 27.77%
Birmingham CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 10.11%
2-1 @ 6.93%
2-0 @ 5.37%
3-1 @ 2.45%
3-0 @ 1.9%
3-2 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 30.56%
1-1 @ 13.04%
0-0 @ 9.52%
2-2 @ 4.47%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.77%
0-1 @ 12.27%
1-2 @ 8.41%
0-2 @ 7.92%
1-3 @ 3.61%
0-3 @ 3.4%
2-3 @ 1.92%
1-4 @ 1.17%
0-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 41.66%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Millwall

Birmingham City
25.8%
Draw
21.2%
Millwall
53.0%
66
Head to Head
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Millwall
3-1
Birmingham
Wallace (10'), Bradshaw (41'), Evans (74')
Deeney (56')
Pedersen (20'), Roberts (50')
Feb 17, 2021 7pm
Millwall
2-0
Birmingham
Wallace (3'), Thompson (75')
Romeo (78'), Woods (80')

Harper (53'), Jutkiewicz (70')
Nov 28, 2020 3pm