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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Hull City | 46 | -13 | 51 |
| 20 | Birmingham City | 46 | -25 | 47 |
| 21 | Reading | 46 | -33 | 41 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Blackburn Rovers | 46 | 9 | 69 |
| 9 | Millwall | 46 | 8 | 69 |
| 10 | West Bromwich Albion | 46 | 7 | 67 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Millwall |
| 30.57% | 27.77% | 41.66% |
| Both teams to score 47.41% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.76% | 58.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.12% | 78.87% |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.43% | 34.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.71% | 71.29% |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.46% | 27.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.94% | 63.05% |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City | Draw | Millwall |
| 1-0 @ 10.11% 2-1 @ 6.93% 2-0 @ 5.37% 3-1 @ 2.45% 3-0 @ 1.9% 3-2 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.22% Total : 30.56% | 1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 9.52% 2-2 @ 4.47% Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.77% | 0-1 @ 12.27% 1-2 @ 8.41% 0-2 @ 7.92% 1-3 @ 3.61% 0-3 @ 3.4% 2-3 @ 1.92% 1-4 @ 1.17% 0-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.87% Total : 41.66% |