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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 2, 2022 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road
Millwall logo

Luton
2 - 2
Millwall

Adebayo (33'), Cooper (87' og.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bradshaw (25'), Afobe (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Luton Town 1-1 Millwall

Both teams will be stronger squad-wise than they were before the international break with players returning from injury, so the two managers will feel this is a good chance to set the tone for the final eight games. We think that it will be a tight game and predict that it will finish level. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 53.35%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 20.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawMillwall
53.35%26.52%20.14%
Both teams to score 42.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.46%60.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.35%80.65%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.09%22.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.32%56.68%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.67%45.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.8%81.2%
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 53.34%
    Millwall 20.14%
    Draw 26.5%
Luton TownDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 15.3%
2-0 @ 11.27%
2-1 @ 8.92%
3-0 @ 5.54%
3-1 @ 4.38%
4-0 @ 2.04%
3-2 @ 1.73%
4-1 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 53.34%
1-1 @ 12.1%
0-0 @ 10.38%
2-2 @ 3.53%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 8.22%
1-2 @ 4.79%
0-2 @ 3.25%
1-3 @ 1.26%
2-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 20.14%

How you voted: Luton vs Millwall

Luton Town
50.0%
Draw
26.1%
Millwall
23.9%
46
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Millwall
0-2
Luton

Cooper (69')
Cornick (11', 53')
Clark (72'), Naismith (83'), Bree (84')
Feb 23, 2021 7.45pm
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
Millwall
2-0
Luton
Cranie (45+3' og.), Mahoney (79')
Leonard (38'), Woods (60')

Cranie (66')
Jan 1, 2020 12.45pm
Oct 2, 2019 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
5.30pm
Swiatek
Sabalenka
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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