Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 51.61%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 21.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.