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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Blackburn Rovers | 46 | 9 | 69 |
| 9 | Millwall | 46 | 8 | 69 |
| 10 | West Bromwich Albion | 46 | 7 | 67 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Stoke City | 46 | 5 | 62 |
| 15 | Swansea City | 46 | -10 | 61 |
| 16 | Blackpool | 46 | -4 | 60 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.5%) and 2-1 (7.41%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (12.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Swansea City |
| 37.9% | 30.01% | 32.1% |
| Both teams to score 41.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.67% | 65.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.88% | 84.12% |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.7% | 33.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.08% | 69.91% |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.73% | 37.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.94% | 74.06% |
| Score Analysis |
| Millwall | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 13.64% 2-0 @ 7.5% 2-1 @ 7.41% 3-0 @ 2.75% 3-1 @ 2.72% 3-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.53% Total : 37.89% | 1-1 @ 13.46% 0-0 @ 12.41% 2-2 @ 3.66% Other @ 0.47% Total : 30% | 0-1 @ 12.24% 1-2 @ 6.65% 0-2 @ 6.04% 1-3 @ 2.19% 0-3 @ 1.99% 2-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.78% Total : 32.09% |