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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 20 | Birmingham City | 46 | -25 | 47 |
| 21 | Reading | 46 | -33 | 41 |
| 22 | Peterborough United | 46 | -44 | 37 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Stoke City | 46 | 5 | 62 |
| 15 | Swansea City | 46 | -10 | 61 |
| 16 | Blackpool | 46 | -4 | 60 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 49.85%. A win for Reading had a probability of 25.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.92%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Swansea City |
| 25.22% | 24.92% | 49.85% |
| Both teams to score 52.29% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.79% | 50.2% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.83% | 72.16% |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.49% | 34.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.77% | 71.22% |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.84% | 20.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.56% | 52.43% |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 7.4% 2-1 @ 6.31% 2-0 @ 3.94% 3-1 @ 2.24% 3-2 @ 1.79% 3-0 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.16% Total : 25.22% | 1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 6.95% 2-2 @ 5.05% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.92% | 0-1 @ 11.13% 1-2 @ 9.49% 0-2 @ 8.92% 1-3 @ 5.07% 0-3 @ 4.76% 2-3 @ 2.7% 1-4 @ 2.03% 0-4 @ 1.91% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.75% Total : 49.84% |