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Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 9, 2022 at 3pm UK
Madejski Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Reading
1 - 2
Cardiff

Joao (7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Doughty (59'), Vaulks (85')
Ng (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Reading and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 1-0 Reading
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Reading 2-0 Cardiff City

Reading are gradually building momentum and edging ever closer to safety, so we think that they will get another important three points on the board at home. Cardiff have very little to play for and will be shaken by their derby defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Reading had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.

Result
ReadingDrawCardiff City
34.25%26.91%38.84%
Both teams to score 51.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.85%54.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.44%75.56%
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.07%29.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.96%66.04%
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.82%27.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.42%62.58%
Score Analysis
    Reading 34.25%
    Cardiff City 38.84%
    Draw 26.9%
ReadingDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 9.81%
2-1 @ 7.71%
2-0 @ 5.92%
3-1 @ 3.1%
3-0 @ 2.38%
3-2 @ 2.02%
4-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 34.25%
1-1 @ 12.78%
0-0 @ 8.13%
2-2 @ 5.02%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.9%
0-1 @ 10.59%
1-2 @ 8.33%
0-2 @ 6.9%
1-3 @ 3.62%
0-3 @ 3%
2-3 @ 2.18%
1-4 @ 1.18%
0-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 38.84%

How you voted: Reading vs Cardiff

Reading
90.0%
Draw
6.7%
Cardiff City
3.3%
30
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Cardiff
0-1
Reading

Pack (32'), Ralls (37'), Collins (84'), McGuinness (90+3')
Hoilett (38')
Apr 16, 2021 6pm
Reading
1-1
Cardiff
Meite (90+3')
Moore (87' pen.)
Nelson (46'), Pack (50'), Brown (78')
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
Cardiff
1-2
Reading
Tomlin (81')
Hoilett (18'), Moore (53')
Morrison (47'), Joao (66')
Olise (90+5')
Feb 4, 2020 7.45pm
Cardiff
3-3
Reading
Reading win 4-1 on penalties
Murphy (19', 93'), Glatzel (54')
Vaulks (39'), Richards (66'), Whyte (75'), Murphy (87')
Richards (69'), Rinomhota (79'), Meite (116')
Osho (81'), Richards (87'), Rinomhota (99')
Jan 31, 2020 7.45pm
Cardiff
1-1
Reading
Paterson (70')
Richards (56'), Nelson (88'), Morrison (90')
Meite (8')
Baldock (45'), Obita (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Sunderland21117332171540
4Burnley2010822471738
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
8Watford199462725231
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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