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Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 9, 2022 at 3pm UK
Madejski Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Reading
1 - 2
Cardiff

Joao (7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Doughty (59'), Vaulks (85')
Ng (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Reading and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 1-0 Reading
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Reading 2-0 Cardiff City

Reading are gradually building momentum and edging ever closer to safety, so we think that they will get another important three points on the board at home. Cardiff have very little to play for and will be shaken by their derby defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Reading had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.

Result
ReadingDrawCardiff City
34.25%26.91%38.84%
Both teams to score 51.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.85%54.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.44%75.56%
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.07%29.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.96%66.04%
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.82%27.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.42%62.58%
Score Analysis
    Reading 34.25%
    Cardiff City 38.84%
    Draw 26.9%
ReadingDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 9.81%
2-1 @ 7.71%
2-0 @ 5.92%
3-1 @ 3.1%
3-0 @ 2.38%
3-2 @ 2.02%
4-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 34.25%
1-1 @ 12.78%
0-0 @ 8.13%
2-2 @ 5.02%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.9%
0-1 @ 10.59%
1-2 @ 8.33%
0-2 @ 6.9%
1-3 @ 3.62%
0-3 @ 3%
2-3 @ 2.18%
1-4 @ 1.18%
0-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 38.84%

How you voted: Reading vs Cardiff

Reading
90.0%
Draw
6.7%
Cardiff City
3.3%
30
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Cardiff
0-1
Reading

Pack (32'), Ralls (37'), Collins (84'), McGuinness (90+3')
Hoilett (38')
Apr 16, 2021 6pm
Reading
1-1
Cardiff
Meite (90+3')
Moore (87' pen.)
Nelson (46'), Pack (50'), Brown (78')
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
Cardiff
1-2
Reading
Tomlin (81')
Hoilett (18'), Moore (53')
Morrison (47'), Joao (66')
Olise (90+5')
Feb 4, 2020 7.45pm
Cardiff
3-3
Reading
Reading win 4-1 on penalties
Murphy (19', 93'), Glatzel (54')
Vaulks (39'), Richards (66'), Whyte (75'), Murphy (87')
Richards (69'), Rinomhota (79'), Meite (116')
Osho (81'), Richards (87'), Rinomhota (99')
Jan 31, 2020 7.45pm
Cardiff
1-1
Reading
Paterson (70')
Richards (56'), Nelson (88'), Morrison (90')
Meite (8')
Baldock (45'), Obita (56')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich432611685533289
4Southampton442591085612484
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4420121267442372
6Norwich CityNorwich442191477611672
7Hull City441912136556969
8Coventry CityCoventry4317121468551363
9Middlesbrough44189176460463
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Cardiff CityCardiff44195205061-1162
12Bristol City441611175147459
13Sunderland44168205251156
14Swansea CitySwansea441511185762-556
15Watford441217155958153
16Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
17Millwall441411194355-1253
18Stoke CityStoke441311204460-1650
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn441310215874-1649
20Plymouth ArgylePlymouth441212205869-1148
21Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds44138233968-2947
22Birmingham CityBirmingham441210224864-1646
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield44917184774-2744
RRotherham UnitedRotherham44412283285-5324


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