Championship

Championship | Gameweek 46

May 7, 2022 at 12.30pm UK

Kenilworth Road

Luton
1 - 0
Reading

Cornick (45+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rahman (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Huddersfield 1-0 Luton
Monday, May 16 at 7.45pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Sheffield United	46	18	75
6	Luton Town	46	8	75
7	Middlesbrough	46	9	70

Reading

Last Six:

Last Game: Luton 1-0 Reading
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
20	Birmingham City	46	-25	47
21	Reading	46	-33	41
22	Peterborough United	46	-44	37

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 56.72%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Reading had a probability of 19.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luton Town in this match.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Reading
56.72%	23.56%	19.72%

Both teams to score 49.55%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.61%

50.39%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.67%

72.33%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.43%

17.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.88%

48.12%

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.11%

39.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.45%

76.55%

Score Analysis

Luton Town 56.7%

Reading 19.72%

Draw 23.56%

Luton Town	Draw	Reading
1-0 @ 12.18% 2-0 @ 10.59% 2-1 @ 9.74% 3-0 @ 6.14% 3-1 @ 5.65% 4-0 @ 2.67% 3-2 @ 2.6% 4-1 @ 2.46% 4-2 @ 1.13% 5-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.63% Total : 56.7%	1-1 @ 11.2% 0-0 @ 7.01% 2-2 @ 4.48% Other @ 0.88% Total : 23.56%	0-1 @ 6.44% 1-2 @ 5.15% 0-2 @ 2.96% 1-3 @ 1.58% 2-3 @ 1.37% 0-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.32% Total : 19.72%