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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Kenilworth Road
Nottingham Forest logo

Luton
1 - 0
Nott'm Forest

Naismith (37' pen.)
Bradley (26'), Naismith (49'), Onyedinma (56'), Burke (63'), Campbell (63'), Shea (69'), Adebayo (90+3')
Bradley (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Garner (44'), Davis (63'), Worrall (74'), Figueiredo (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Luton Town 1-3 Nottingham Forest

While both clubs will feel under pressure to record a win on Friday, the stakes are arguably higher for the home side as they look to fend off the chasing pack. Nevertheless, we simply cannot back against Forest versus any other club right now, leading us to predict another victory and more goals for Cooper's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luton Town in this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawNottingham Forest
39.23%27.85%32.91%
Both teams to score 47.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.02%57.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.33%78.67%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.22%28.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.38%64.62%
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.24%32.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.68%69.31%
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 39.23%
    Nottingham Forest 32.91%
    Draw 27.85%
Luton TownDrawNottingham Forest
1-0 @ 11.74%
2-1 @ 8.16%
2-0 @ 7.31%
3-1 @ 3.39%
3-0 @ 3.04%
3-2 @ 1.89%
4-1 @ 1.06%
4-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 39.23%
1-1 @ 13.1%
0-0 @ 9.43%
2-2 @ 4.55%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.85%
0-1 @ 10.52%
1-2 @ 7.31%
0-2 @ 5.87%
1-3 @ 2.72%
0-3 @ 2.18%
2-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 32.91%

How you voted: Luton vs Nott'm Forest

Luton Town
30.6%
Draw
25.0%
Nottingham Forest
44.4%
36
Head to Head
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Nott'm Forest
0-0
Luton

Taylor (26'), Colback (47'), McKenna (55')
Colback (61')

Lockyer (45+1'), Ruddock (68'), Bradley (90+3')
Mar 2, 2021 7.45pm
Oct 28, 2020 7.45pm
Luton
1-1
Nott'm Forest
Rea (22')
Ruddock (55'), Cranie (71'), Rea (73')
Rea (64' og.)
Ioannou (44')
Jan 19, 2020 12pm
Nott'm Forest
3-1
Luton
Lolley (36', 57'), Grabban (90' pen.)
Cornick (23')
Rea (35'), Tunnicliffe (88'), Potts (93')
Nov 2, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
15Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
16Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
17Derby CountyDerby205692226-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth183872130-917
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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