Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.