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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 30, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Den
Peterborough United

Millwall
3 - 0
Peterborough

Afobe (53'), Knight (73' og.), Saville (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Millwall 2-0 Peterborough United

Considering their strong home record, we are backing Millwall to earn three points and stay in the playoff race. Peterborough will be deflated after their relegation was confirmed last weekend and should not provide much of a test. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 68.71%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Peterborough United had a probability of 11.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.55%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Peterborough United win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawPeterborough United
68.71%19.71%11.59%
Both teams to score 42.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.62%49.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.57%71.42%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.69%13.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.84%40.16%
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.49%50.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.99%85.01%
Score Analysis
    Millwall 68.7%
    Peterborough United 11.59%
    Draw 19.71%
MillwallDrawPeterborough United
2-0 @ 13.67%
1-0 @ 13.55%
2-1 @ 9.34%
3-0 @ 9.19%
3-1 @ 6.28%
4-0 @ 4.63%
4-1 @ 3.16%
3-2 @ 2.14%
5-0 @ 1.87%
5-1 @ 1.28%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 68.7%
1-1 @ 9.26%
0-0 @ 6.72%
2-2 @ 3.19%
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 19.71%
0-1 @ 4.59%
1-2 @ 3.16%
0-2 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 11.59%

How you voted: Millwall vs Peterborough

Millwall
77.8%
Draw
18.5%
Peterborough United
3.7%
27
Head to Head
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Peterborough
2-1
Millwall
McNamara (64' og.), Clarke-Harris (68')
Norburn (24'), Cornell (90+2')
Bradshaw (16')
Malone (22'), McNamara (38'), Hutchinson (45+1'), Mitchell (56'), Evans (62')
Feb 28, 2017 7.45pm
Millwall
1-0
Peterborough
Gregory (54' pen.)
Ferguson (73')

Grant (53'), Maddison (91'), Inman (94')
Aug 16, 2016 7.45pm
Peterborough
5-1
Millwall
Maddison (6'), Taylor (7'), Edwards (20', 52'), Nichols (67')
Baldwin (45'), Anderson (56')
Morison (79')
Martin (30'), Abdou (58')
Feb 20, 2016 3pm
Millwall
3-0
Peterborough
Morison (30', 62'), Gregory (49')
Gregory (66'), Romeo (95')

Coulthirst (47'), Beautyman (48'), Bostwick (92')
Oct 3, 2015 3pm
Peterborough
5-3
Millwall
Angol (15'), Taylor (19', 81'), Forrester (69'), Washington (72')
Webster (52'), Craig (55'), Beevers (74')
Thompson (64'), Williams (76'), O'Brien (94')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Sunderland21117332171540
4Burnley2010822471738
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
8Watford199462725231
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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