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Championship | Gameweek 4
Oct 3, 2020 at 3pm UK
Liberty Stadium
Millwall logo

Swansea
2 - 1
Millwall

Bidwell (46'), Cabango (69')
Guehi (27')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bradshaw (51')
Malone (90+4')

The Match

Match Report

The Wales team have taken 10 points from their first four league games.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship fixture between Swansea City and Millwall, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (11.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawMillwall
38.6%29.09%32.31%
Both teams to score 44.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.61%62.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.98%82.02%
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.66%31.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.3%67.7%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.49%35.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.72%72.27%
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 38.6%
    Millwall 32.31%
    Draw 29.07%
Swansea CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 12.91%
2-1 @ 7.76%
2-0 @ 7.49%
3-1 @ 3%
3-0 @ 2.9%
3-2 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 38.6%
1-1 @ 13.36%
0-0 @ 11.12%
2-2 @ 4.02%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 29.07%
0-1 @ 11.52%
1-2 @ 6.92%
0-2 @ 5.96%
1-3 @ 2.39%
0-3 @ 2.06%
2-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 32.31%