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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Reading had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bristol City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bristol City.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City | Draw | Reading |
| 43.25% | 26.86% | 29.88% |
| Both teams to score 49.75% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.88% | 55.12% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.63% | 76.37% |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.73% | 25.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.97% | 60.03% |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.56% | 33.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.93% | 70.06% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol City | Draw | Reading |
| 1-0 @ 11.62% 2-1 @ 8.76% 2-0 @ 7.99% 3-1 @ 4.02% 3-0 @ 3.67% 3-2 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-0 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.36% Total : 43.25% | 1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 8.45% 2-2 @ 4.8% Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.86% | 0-1 @ 9.26% 1-2 @ 6.98% 0-2 @ 5.07% 1-3 @ 2.55% 0-3 @ 1.85% 2-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.43% Total : 29.88% |