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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 45.21%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for had a probability of 27.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a win it was 0-1 (9.59%).
| Result | ||
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Derby County |
| 45.21% | 27.61% | 27.17% |
| Both teams to score 46.06% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.92% | 59.08% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.47% | 79.53% |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.93% | 26.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.88% | 61.12% |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.3% | 37.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.52% | 74.47% |
| Score Analysis |
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Derby County |
| 1-0 @ 13.21% 2-0 @ 8.88% 2-1 @ 8.66% 3-0 @ 3.98% 3-1 @ 3.88% 3-2 @ 1.89% 4-0 @ 1.34% 4-1 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.06% Total : 45.21% | 1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 9.83% 2-2 @ 4.23% Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.61% | 0-1 @ 9.59% 1-2 @ 6.29% 0-2 @ 4.68% 1-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.52% 2-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.68% Total : 27.17% |