Derby

0 - 1

QPR

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.